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2024-12-13 05:52:07

After today's session, Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party, which has attracted much attention from the market, finally got big news! Judging from what Jun Ge has learned so far, the top management gave two reassurances at the meeting:During this period, many investors are worried that the economic growth rate is less than expected, and that the economic recovery is too fast, and the future policy support will decline. This mentality of being swayed by considerations of gain and loss is the main obstacle that causes the A-share market to hesitate. This Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party meeting is the first time in 14 years that a "moderately loose" monetary policy has been set again, which is equivalent to removing a big stone in the hearts of bulls!To understand this problem, we need to know the reasons for the divergence between the two indexes today, so as to judge the market trend in the later period.


Let's go back to the question at the beginning of this article. When the performance of the market and the Growth Enterprise Market is divided, either the market will go up with the Growth Enterprise Market; Either the growth enterprise market dragged the market back to the box structure. Now the answer should be clear!Second, in the case of achieving the goal, we will continue to adhere to a positive macro-adjustment policy! The meeting stressed that it is necessary to do a good job in economic work next year, implement more active and promising macro policies, expand domestic demand, promote the integrated development of scientific and technological innovation and industrial innovation, stabilize the property market and stock market, prevent and resolve risks and external shocks in key areas, stabilize expectations, stimulate vitality, promote sustained economic recovery, continuously improve people's living standards, maintain social harmony and stability, and complete the objectives and tasks of the 14 th Five-Year Plan with high quality, so as to lay a solid foundation for achieving a good start of the 15 th Five-Year Plan.It is worth noting that this meeting not only released the above two reassurances, but also focused on stabilizing the property market and the stock market. The operating environment of the A-share market next year will probably not be bad.


Of course, everything has its two sides. The disadvantages of flat economic data are obvious, so what are the benefits? Combined with the current policy environment of the whole market, everyone should be able to guess!First, this year we will successfully complete the economic growth target set at the beginning of the year! The meeting held that this year is a crucial year to realize the objectives and tasks of the 14 th Five-Year Plan, and China's economic strength, scientific and technological strength and comprehensive national strength have been continuously enhanced. The new quality productivity has developed steadily, the reform and opening up has continued to deepen, the risk mitigation in key areas has been orderly and effective, and the people's livelihood security has been solid and powerful. The main objectives and tasks of economic and social development throughout the year will be successfully completed.Last Friday, the A-share market and the Growth Enterprise Market index both broke through the key pressure level, and the market closed above the 3400-point integer mark and the 5-day line, getting rid of the previous box channel; Growth enterprise market refers to the key 20-day pressure level, but from the structural point of view, it is in the form of a box.

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